EVALUATING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PUBLIC SPENDING AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA OVER FOUR DECADES
Abstract
The study examines the connection between government expenditure with economic growth in
Nigeria spanning from the opening quarter of 1981 to the final quarter of 2022. It specifically
focuses on government capital spending in the administrative sector, which includes
expenditures on education, healthcare, internal security, defense, and community and social
services. Various econometric techniques, including the ADF unit root test and autoregressive
distributed lag (ARDL), were used for analysis. The results indicate that current value of real
per capita government administrative spending positively impact real per capita GDP, recurrent
expenditure on education and also on healthcare have positive and considerable influence in
stimulating economic growth within the short term but are not very meaningful in the long run
Interest rate in the short and long run, positively affects real per capita gross domestic product.
Also the long run rate of inflation positively impact real per capita growth of the economy. In
light of the study's results, the researcher suggests that, given the positive influence of real per
capita government spending on administration on economic growth, the government should
focus on enhancing and prioritizing administrative expenditures, healthcare and education for
long-term growth.
Keywords: government expenditure, administrative expenditure
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