EFFECT OF HIGH INTEREST RATE ON SME BUSINESS PERFORMANCE IN NIGERIA
Abstract
This study sought to evaluate the effect of interest rate on the growth of SMEs in
Nigeria, using annual time series data from 1990-2022. The data for the study
was sourced from the World Development Indicator (WDI) and the Central
Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin. The data collected were Small and
medium scale enterprises GDP (SMEG) which is the dependent variable while
commercial bank total credit to private sector, commercial bank loans to SMEs,
percentage of commercial bank loans to SMEs, Monetary Policy Rate (MPR),
inflation, exchange rate, reserve requirement and lending rates of commercial
banks to SMEs are the independent variables. Descriptive and inferential
statistics were employed, the Autoregressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) were
used to test the long run relationship of the variables. The results show that
LRCM have a negative effect on SMEGDP such that if the LRCM is increased
by 1%, SMEGDP declines by 1.6%. On the other hand, an increase in RR by
1% leads to an increase in SMEGDP by 0.005%. The study recommends that
MPR and INFR should be reduced to bring about a reduction in LRCM that will
improve financial capacity of SMEs, thus lead to an increase in the contribution
of SMEs to nation’s GDP.
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