ASSESSING THE ECONOMIC AND OPERATIONAL IMPLICATIONS OF REDESIGNING OLD CURRENCY NOTES IN THE NIGERIA BANKING SECTOR
Abstract
ASSESSING THE ECONOMIC AND OPERATIONAL IMPLICATIONS
OF REDESIGNING OLD CURRENCY NOTES IN THE NIGERIA
BANKING SECTOR
BY
BETHEL REJOICE OLUOMACHI
2019/122566/REGULAR
THE DEPARTMENT OF BANKING AND FINANCE,
FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCES,
ABIA STATE UNIVERSITY, UTURU.
APRIL, 2024
ASSESSING THE ECONOMIC AND OPERATIONAL IMPLICATIONS
OF REDESIGNING OLD CURRENCY NOTES IN THE NIGERIA
BANKING SECTOR
BY
BETHEL REJOICE OLUOMACHI
2019/122566/REGULAR
A RESEARCH PROJECT SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF
BANKING AND FINANCE,
FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCES, ABIA
STATE UNIVERSITY UTURU
PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE
AWARD OF THE DEGREE OF
BACHELOR OF SCIENCE (B.Sc.) IN BANKING AND FINANCE
APRIL, 2024
DECLARATION
I, BETHEL REJOICE OLUOMACHI with matriculation number
2019/122566/regular do hereby declare that this project has not been previously
presented either wholly or in part for the award of any other Degree, Diploma or
Certificate in any University or Institution of Higher learning in Nigeria or
elsewhere.
Bethel Rejoice Oluomachi
____________________
(Researcher's Name) (Signature of
Researcher)
______________________
Date
CERTIFICATION
The undersigned do hereby certify as follows; that this research study was done
by BETHEL REJOICE OLUOMACHI with the matriculation number:
2019/122566/regular, that to the best of our knowledge, this is the original work
of the candidate and the project is accepted in partial fulfillment of the
requirements for the award of Bachelor of Science (B.Sc.) Degree in Banking and
Finance in Abia State University, Uturu.
______________________
____________________
Mrs. Effe-Nnamdi Ann Date
(Supervisor).
_______________________
____________________
Dr. Ejem, C. A Date
(Head of Department)
________________________
____________________
Prof. N. O. Dibia Date
(Dean, Faculty of Economics and Management Sciences).
_________________________
____________________
External Examiner. Date
DEDICATION
This work is dedicated to God Almighty who helped and saw me throughout this
work.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
I am very grateful to God who has helped me and brought me this far. I also want
to
appreciate my supervisor, Mrs Effe-Nnamdi Ann for her support, insight, feedback
and belief in my abilities.
I also want to say a big thank you to Prof O.M Ogbulu (Vice Chancellor, Abia
State
University, uturu), the Head of Department Dr. C. A Ejem and my lecturers: Prof.
G.C Okpara, Prof S.U. Okanta, Dr. J.C Onoh for their great help and how they
have
impacted so much knowledge into me in becoming a great financial banker.
I am also grateful to my dad, Pastor Bethel Ikechukwu Ogbonnaya for his financial
and spiritual provision, I couldn't ask for more. Also, to my mom, Mrs. Ifeoma
Bethel for her motherly care and affection. I also want to extend my gratitude to
my
siblings, Favour Bethel and Samuel Bethel who were both sources of
encouragement
and moral support.
A special great thanks to the Lord's chosen Campus Fellowship for their great
impact
in my life and helping me grow spiritually. I am also grateful to everyone whom
God
gave to me throughout my stay here in school; Miracle, Divine Favor, Premium,
Lovelyn, Hadassah, Ozioma Pascaline and Evangeline, I love you all.
BETHEL REJOICE OLUOMACHI
2019/122566/Regular
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Cover Page
i
Title Page ii
Declaration
iii
Certification iv
Dedication v
Acknowledgements vi
Table Of Contents
vii
Abstract ix
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background to The Study 1
1.2 Statement of the Problem 6
1.3 Research Objectives
7
1.4 Research Questions 8
1.5 Research Hypotheses 8
1.6 Scope of the Study 9
1.7 Significance of The Study 9
1.8 Organization of The Study
10
CHAPTER TWO: REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE
2.1 Conceptual Literature 12
2.1.1 Currency Redesign
12
2.1.2 Economic Implications 18
2.1.3 Factors That Contributed to The Failure of The Currency
Redesign Regime
24
2.1.4 Role of The Banking Sector 27
2.2 theoretical framework 28
CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY
3.1 Research Design 38
3.2 Source of Data 38
3.3 Population 39
3.4 Sample size and Sampling Technique 39
3.5 Instrument of Data Collection 40
3.6 Data collection Procedure
41
3.7 Reliability and Validity 41
3.8 Data Analysis technique 43
3.9 Ethical Consideration 43
CHAPTER FOUR: DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS
4.1 Data Presentation 45
4.2 Data Analysis
46
4.3 Test for Hypotheses
49
CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary 53
5.2 Conclusion 54
5.3 Recommendations 54
References
ABSTRACT
This study assessed the economic and operational implications of currency
redesign in the Nigerian banking system. The objectives were to find out factors
responsible for redesigning of old currency notes in the Nigerian banking system,
determine the economic implications of redesigning of old currency notes in the
Nigerian banking system; and assess the operational implications of redesigning
of old currency notes in the Nigerian banking system. Survey design was adopted.
The sample size was 149 while 114 was used for analysis. Data were collected
through questionnaire from selected bank staffs in Umuahia. Analyses were
carried out using descriptive statistics and regression. Findings are as follows:
There are significant factors responsible for redesigning of old currency notes in
the Nigerian banking system; there is significant economic implication of
redesigning of old currency notes in the Nigerian banking system; and there is
significant operational implication of redesigning of old currency notes in the
Nigerian banking system. In conclusion, this study showed that there are
economic and operational implications for old note redesign in Nigeria. It
therefore recommended that the Central Bank of Nigeria must constantly review
factor responsible for currency redesign and to ensure that it is a policy that
benefits everyone in the economy. Problems arising from the policy that have
negative economic implications must be adequately addressed before embarking
on the mission of currency redesign.
2
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background to the Study
The basic form of money is numbers; currently the basic form of currency is paper
notes, coins or plastic cards (i.e. credit or debit cards). Though this distinction
between money and currency is important in some context, for the purpose of this
study, the terms ‘money’ and ‘currency’ are used interchangeably (Gary, 1996).
Money allows people to trade goods and services indirectly. It helps communicate
the price of goods, and it provides individuals with a way to store their wealth.
Money, whether it’s represented by a seashell, a metal coin, a piece of paper, or a
string of code, or electronically mined by computer, doesn’t always have value.
Rather, its total global value depends on it as a medium of exchange which people
place on it. There are over 180 currencies in the world circulating in 197
(Eurochange, 2022).
There is the United States Dollar (USD), European Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen JPY,
British Pound (GBP), Swiss Franc (CHF), Canadian Dollar (CAD), South Africa
Rand (ZAR), Ghanaian Cedis, Nigerian Naira, etc. Altogether, there are 162
official currencies around the world of these 162, however, 47 currencies are tied
to another with a fixed exchange rate. This means that, for example, the Danish
Krone is a currency in its own, but is tied to EUR with a constant rate. Other
countries like
Bahamian dollar even correspond to the USD directly in 1:1 rate. The oldest
currency still in use is the British Pound sterling. It spread over Great Britain and
its various colonies like Nigeria, Ghana and others, for more than 1,200 years.
Countries around the world redesign and reissue their legal tender for several
reasons. The prevention of counterfeit currency is a key motivation. A country's
ability to limit counterfeiting to a minimum and remain ahead of counterfeiting
threats is made possible by redesigning its national currency. According to best
practice the issuance of new currency should be undertaken every five to eight
years. The purpose of the currency redesign is to mop up the huge amount of cash
that is outside the banking system, which currently estimated at 2.73 trillion or
about 85% of the total cash in circulation. Economic factors driving the redesign of
the Naira include lowering inflation, thwarting counterfeiting, reducing insecurity,
and increasing the amount of money in circulation, as it is believed that 85% of all
the country's cash is hidden away in houses outside the banking system.
Amassoma, Keji and Emma-Ebere (2018), explained that monetary policy is a vital
tool which could be used to achieve currency management, price stability, and
strengthen the growth of investment. Studies show that currency redesign is a good
approach to manage the money in circulation (International Monetary Fund, 2022;
Whelan, 2010; Kregel, 2010). It is hoped to minimize the influence of money on
the country's electoral process thereby discouraging vote-buying and inducement
of electoral
officers. However, many experts have argued that the timing of this exercise in
Nigeria is always wrong, and this paper cannot agree less. Literatures available
revealed that the CBN always plans to execute the currency redesign to effectively
manage the flow of the currencies (CBN, 2015). And the short period notice is put
in place to penalize those hoarding or laundering the Nigerian currency. On
October 26, 2022, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) unveiled its new program on
the redesigning of Nigeria's three highest denomination banknotes: N200, N500
and N1000. Replacements for the old notes began circulating on December 15,
2022, in different colors and security features (CBN, 2022 a: 1). The Apex Bank's
decision to demonetize the old notes by February 10, 2023 and circulate limited
amount of the new notes (Adegboyega, 2023) resulted in an unprecedented cash
crunch. With a visible infrastructural deficit for a cashless economy to effectively
take-off in Nigeria, transactions via e-banking channels became very difficult
especially for the poor, unbanked and unlettered segments of the population. The
new program, therefore, attracted reactions from Nigerians. A section of the
political class in the country cried foul, alleging that the government was using the
CBN as an attack-dog to render politicians bankrupt ahead of the 2023 general
elections, held in February and March. A number of economic experts thought that
the programmed would have a devastating effect on Nigeria's economy, especially
because it was hurriedly conceived, planned and implemented. Typical of Nigerian
public discourses, many
commentators, who felt that the program was unnecessary, criticized it for reasons
as trivial as the view that the new notes were merely “recolored” versions of the
old notes, but not “redesigned” (Nwanma, 2023). According to the Central Bank of
Nigeria (CBN), more than 85% of the money in circulation is kept outside the
vaults of commercial banks, therefore it was necessary to redesign the naira
because it had been so long since the notes had been updated, which is
recommended to be done every 5 to 8 years. The amount of money in circulation
has more than doubled, rising from N1.46 trillion in December 2015 to N3.23
trillion in September 2022. Data from the CBN shows an 11.07% increase in the
value of cash kept outside of banks from the N2.54 trillion reported in a
comparable time of 2021 Year-on-Year (Onimisi, 2023). The policy decision by the
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to redesign the N200, N500 and N1000
denominations was announced on October 26, 2022. This is in line with the CBN
Act of 2007 which stipulates that the CBN shall oversee and administer all
monetary and financial sector policies on behalf of the Federal Government of
Nigeria (FGN). Section 18 (a) & (b) and Section 20 (3) of the Act empower the
CBN to print, redesign, destroy, and re-distribute currencies.
The national currency has been redesigned 16th time since 1959. Global best
practice permits central banks to redesign, produce and circulate new local legal
tender every five to eight years. The Nigerian apex bank was worried over the
management of series of banknotes and currency in circulation, particularly those
outside the banking system. The concern of the CBN was that the hoarding
banknotes are over 85 percent of currency in circulation which are outside the
vaults of our commercial banks (CBN, 2023a, 2023b; Emefiele, 2023). As at the
end of September 2022, N2.73 trillion out of the N3.23 trillion currency in
circulation was outside the vault of deposit money banks across the country
(Emefiele, 2023). The CBN was also compelled to redesign the naira because of
the prevailing level of insecurity (terrorism and kidnapping) situation in the
country. The perpetrators were holding onto large volume of money outside the
banking system which are used as source of funds for ransom. The redesigning of
the naira notes was to help to curb the hoarding of currency due to corrupt
practices that thrives in Nigeria. This necessitated the urgency to redesign the
Nigerian legal tender, which the FGN expects to curb instances of hoarding,
insecurity, and the bastardization of the Nigerian currency. The redesign of the
currency generated divergent views on the appropriateness and timeliness of the
policy. A withdrawal policy was later instituted by the CBN which restricted
withdrawals from ATMs, point-of-sale devices, and over-the-counter locations to
just N100,000 per week for individuals and N500,000 for corporate organizations.
The withdrawal policy was later increased to N500,000 for individuals and
N5,000,000 for corporate organizations. The Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF), the
Bank Customers Association of Nigeria (BCAN), the House of Representatives
and the Senate urged CBN in separate statements expressed
concerns and appealed for the CBN to extend the deadline for change of old to
newly designed currency notes. The President of Nigeria later approved a 10-day
extension of the expiry date of the old naira notes from January 31, 2023, to
February 10, 2023.
The extension of the deadline was to allow for collection of more old notes
legitimately held by Nigerians. The currency redesign policy was targeted at
addressing the current blow of insecurity, corruption and economic sabotage
among other actions of some Nigerians especially the politicians. The redesign of
currencies improves the security of legal tender by enabling countries to prevent
counterfeit currencies and their threats on sustainable development (Aroghene,
2023). Consequently, policy makers and researchers have recognized currency
redesign over a period of time for global competition.
1.2 Statement of the Problem
The redesign of Nigeria’s highest denomination banknotes led to an unexpected
cash shortage, making transactions via e-banking channels difficult, especially for
segments of the population who rely on physical currency. This has raised concerns
about the country’s infrastructural readiness for a cashless economy and the potential
adverse effects on economic activities. Some members of the political class in Nigeria
criticized the currency redesign program, alleging that it was a deliberate attempt by
the government to render politicians bankrupt ahead of the 2023 general elections.
This raises questions about the government’s motives and the potential
politicization
of monetary policies. The currency redesign program received mixed reactions
from Nigerians, with some questioning its necessity and effectiveness. Critics
argue that the new notes were merely "recolored" versions of the old notes rather
than true redesigns, highlighting concerns about the transparency and efficacy of
the program.
The CBN cited concerns about the significant amount of currency hoarded outside the
banking system, estimated at over 85% of the total cash in circulation. The redesign was
intended to address issues such as hoarding, counterfeiting, and insecurity associated with
large volumes of cash held outside formal financial institutions.
The redesign of currency notes was also prompted by concerns about the role of large
volumes of cash in fueling insecurity, terrorism, kidnapping, and corrupt practices in
Nigeria. The redesign aimed to curb these illicit activities and strengthen the integrity of
the Nigerian currency.
Overall, the research problem centers on the implications and effectiveness of the
currency redesign program implemented by the CBN, including its economic,
political, social, and security ramifications. It raises questions about the rationale
behind the program, its execution, and its impact on various stakeholders in
Nigerian society.
1.3 Research Objectives
The general objective of the study is to assess the economic and operational
implications of redesigning old currency notes in the Nigeria banking sector. The
specific objectives were to:
1. Find out factors responsible for redesigning of old currency notes in the
Nigerian banking system.
2. Determine the economic implications of redesigning of old currency notes in
the Nigerian banking system.
3. Assess the operational implications of redesigning of old currency notes in
the Nigerian banking system.
1.4 Research Questions
The following questions will be answered in this study:
1. What are the factors responsible for redesigning of old currency notes in the
Nigerian banking system?
2. What are the economic implications of redesigning of old currency notes in
the Nigerian banking system?
3. To what extent are the operational implications of redesigning of old
currency notes in the Nigerian banking system?
1.5 Research Hypotheses
The following hypotheses have been formulated to guide the study in their null
form:
H₀₁: There are no significant factors responsible for redesigning of old currency
notes in the Nigerian banking system
H₀₂: There is no significant economic implication of redesigning of old currency
Notes in the Nigerian banking system
H₀₃: There is no significant operational implication of redesigning of old currency
notes in the Nigerian banking system
1.6 Scope of the Study
This study focuses on the economic and operational implications of redesigning
old currency notes in the Nigeria banking sector. It lays emphasis on factors
responsible for redesigning of old currency notes in the Nigerian banking system,
the economic implications as well as the operational implications of redesigning of
old currency notes in the Nigerian banking system. The geographical scope is
selected commercial banks in Umuahia.
1.7 Significance of the Study
By examining the impact of the currency redesign program on banking and
financial institutions, the study can inform policymakers and regulators about the
effectiveness of such initiatives in achieving their intended objectives. This can
guide future policy decisions related to currency management, financial stability,
and economic development. Understanding how banks and financial institutions
have adapted to the currency redesign program can provide valuable lessons for
enhancing resilience and risk management practices within the sector. This can
help institutions better prepare for and mitigate the impact of future regulatory
changes or disruptions.
The study's findings on customer experience and satisfaction with banking services
post-redesign can help financial institutions identify areas for improvement and
enhance their service delivery to meet customer expectations. This can contribute
to building trust and loyalty among customers, ultimately strengthening the
competitiveness of banks in the market. By analyzing how banks have leveraged
technology to adapt to the currency redesign program, the study can highlight
innovative practices and solutions that have emerged in response to regulatory
changes. This can inspire further innovation within the sector and drive
advancements in financial technology (fintech) and digital banking.
1.8 Organization of the Study
Chapter 1: Introduction
This chapter introduces the research topic, outlines the problem statement,
objectives, research questions, hypotheses, scope, significance, and limitations of
the study. It also provides an overview of the organization of the subsequent
chapters.
Chapter 2: Review of Related Literature
The literature review explores currency redesign, its historical context, economic
and operational implications, and its impact on the banking sector, drawing from
relevant scholarly works and studies.
Chapter 3: Research Methodology
This chapter details the research design, population and sample selection, data
collection methods, variables, measurement tools, data analysis techniques, and
ethical considerations employed in the study.
Chapter 4: Data Analysis and Findings
Findings from data analysis are presented, focusing on the economic and
operational implications of currency redesign on the Nigeria banking sector.
Descriptive analysis, economic implications, operational implications, customer
perception, and financial stability are discussed.
Chapter 5: Conclusion and Recommendations
The study concludes with a summary of findings, conclusions drawn, implications
for banking institutions, policy recommendations, practical recommendations, and
suggestions for future research.
CHAPTER TWO
REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE
2.1. Conceptual Literature
2.1.1. Currency Redesign
Currency redesign policy is usually informed by disequilibrium in the
macroeconomic fundamentals of countries basically on the basis of poor
macroeconomic performance especially hyper-inflation (Nwafor, 2018; Olujobi &
Chuba, 2023). Nations redesign and recirculate their currencies due to various
reasons. Some countries for instance redesign their legal tenders to prevent
currencies’ counterfeits. Such redesign develops security of the currencies by
keeping counterfeiting low. Another reason for currency restructuring and
redenomination is to provide a platform for broad package of economic and
political reforms and restoration of credibility of the currency with a view to
combating hyperinflationary pressures (Somoye & Onakoya, 2013). Some
countries had adopted currency redesign and this policy in the countries had been
implemented as far back as 19th century. The Indian government in 2016,
redesigned her currencies by reducing the amount of money in circulation through
withdrawing and reintroducing the 500 and 1000 denominations of the Indian
rupee. Nwachukwu and Nwogu (2023) posited that the effect of the policy may
lead to low level of inflation in the future. Currency management may not impact
negatively on inflation but the
multiplier effect of the policy could have negative consequences in the overall
economy (Ochei, 2022). For instance, in some Latin American countries and
Africa, the policy might precipitate other negative economic consequences that
might defeat the objective of the policy whenever implemented (Ochei, 2022). The
Bank of England is responsible for producing and issuing banknotes in England
and Wales.
The most recent series of Bank of England banknotes, technically known as Series
G, was launched over a five-year period, between 2016 and 2021. This series is the
first that was printed on polymer. A new 5 pound was issued in September 2016.
The legal tender status of paper five was withdrawn in May 2017, while new 10
pound was issued in September 2017. The legal tender status of paper 10 pound
was withdrawn March 2018, new 20 pound issued February 2020 and new 50-
pound issued June 2021. Legal tender status of paper 20 pound and 50 pound were
withdrawn on September 2022. Following the death of Queen Elizabeth, the Bank
of England unveiled the design of King Charles III banknotes on December 20,
2022.
In April 1984, the colours of all the banknotes in circulation in Nigeria were
changed with the exception of the 50 Kobo banknote to arrest the currency
trafficking prevalent at the time. In 1991, the 50K and ₦1 were both coined. On 1st
July, 1959 the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) issued Nigerian currency banknotes,
while the WACB-issued banknotes and coins were withdrawn. It was not until 1st
July, 1962
that the currency was changed to reflect the country’s republican status. The
banknotes which bore the inscription, ‘FEDERATION OF NIGERIA’, now had,
‘FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA’, inscribed at the top. The notes were again
changed in 1968 following the misuse of the currency banknotes during the civil
war. Sequel to the decision by the government to change from the metric to
decimal, the name of the Nigerian currency was changed in January, 1973. The
major unit of currency which used to be £1 ceased to exist and the one naira which
was equivalent to ten shillings became the major unit, while the minor unit was
called the kobo; hundred of which made one naira. On 11th February 1977, a new
banknote with the value of twenty naira (20) was issued. It was the highest
denomination introduced at the time as a result of the growth of the economy; the
preference for cash transactions and the need for convenience. The banknote was
the first in Nigeria to bear the portrait of a prominent Nigerian citizen, the late
Head of State, General Murtala Ramat Muhammed (1938-1976) who was the torch
bearer of the Nigerian Revolution in July, 1975. The note was issued on the 1st
anniversary of his assassination as a fitting tribute to a most illustrious son of
Nigeria. He was declared a national hero on 1st October 1978 (CBN, 2015).
On 2nd July, 1979, new currency banknotes of three denominations, namely ₦1,
₦5 and ₦10 were introduced. These notes were of the same size i.e. 151 X 78 mm
as the ₦20 note issued on 11th February, 1977. In order to facilitate identification,
distinctive colours were used for the various denominations. The notes bore the
portraits of three eminent Nigerians, who were declared national heroes on 1st
October, 1978. The engravings at the back of the notes reflected various cultural
aspects of the country (The Guardian, 2022). In April 1984, the colours of all the
banknotes in circulation were changed with the exception of the 50 Kobo banknote
to arrest the currency trafficking prevalent at the time. In 1991, the 50K and ₦1
were both coined. In response to the expansion in economic activities and to
facilitate an efficient payments system, the ₦100, ₦200, ₦500 and ₦1000
banknotes were introduced in December 1999, November 2000, April 2001 and
October 2005 respectively (CBN, 2015). On 30th September, 2009 the redesigned
₦50, ₦10 and ₦5 banknotes were converted to polymer substrate following the
successful performance of the ₦20 (polymer) banknotes. Thus, all lower
denomination banknotes were now printed in the polymer substrate. Finally, the
CBN, as part of its contribution towards the celebration of the nation’s 50th
anniversary of Nigeria’s Independence and 100 years of its existence as a nation,
issued the ₦50 Commemorative polymer banknote on 29th September, 2010; and
the ₦100 Commemorative banknote on 19th December, 2014 respectively. The
Central Bank of Nigeria Governor, Godwin Emefiele observed that over three
trillion-naira notes are supposedly in circulation but merely a trillion have been
accounted for by the banks. So, the presumption is that the remaining unaccounted
couple of trillions are
stockpiled somewhere.
In 1965, the Nigerian redesigned currencies’ policy was first implemented when Nigeria
became a federal republic (Pillah, 2023). The leading purpose for redesigned of the
currencies was to reflect the ownership as that of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.
In 1968, the Nigerian currency was redesigned due to a civil war in Nigeria as a
war tactic to counteract the misuse of the country’s currency notes during the war.
In 1973, Nigeria implemented a genuine monetary system in decimal form to replace
the imperial system inherited from the British colonial administration leading to another
form of a currency redesign (Aroghene & Akpoyibo, 2023). In 2007, as part of the
economic reforms implemented, the Nigerian banknotes were redesigned.
In 2023, new banknotes was introduced to limit counterfeit currencies, stimulate a
cashless economy, reduce the large quantity of dirty banknotes that was circulating in the
economy as well as reducing illegal financial transactions. The new currencies policy can
also address the high amount of currency outside the deposit money banks. The CBN Act
of 2007 stipulates that CBN shall oversee and administer all banks. The CBN Act of
2007 stipulates that CBN shall oversee and administer all monetary and financial
sector policies in Nigeria (Somoye & Onanuga, 2013). This is to ensure
monetary and price stability; to issue legal tender currency in Nigeria;
maintain external reserves to safeguard the international value of the legal
tender currency; promote a sound financial system in Nigeria; and act as a banker
and
provide economic and financial advice to the federal government. The Section 18
(a) & (b) and Section 20 (3) of the Act empower the CBN to print, redesign,
destroy, and re-distribute currencies. The redesigning of the currency will help curb
the hoarding of currency against corrupt practices in Nigeria where some people
keep large sums of money in soak-aways, overhead tanks and unoccupied
buildings. The CBN also instituted a withdrawal policy that restricted withdrawals
from ATMs, point-of-sale devices, and over-the-counter locations to just N100,000
per week for individuals and N500,000 for corporate organizations, but it was
increased to N500,000 for individuals and N5,000,000 (CBN, 2022; Fate
Foundation, 2023).
This was later reduced to N10,000 and N5000 in some instances. The CBN
directed deposit money banks to stop handing out new, redesigned notes over the
counter and to reload ATM machines instead to aid circulation at the beginning of
this year (Fasua, 2023). However, because there is an insufficient supply of new
notes, banks are left with old notes that they must load into ATM machines. This is
despite the announcement that all Nigerians should deposit old notes as they will
no longer be accepted as legal tender as of January 3, 2023.
The deadline was later postponed to December 31, 2023. A number of studies had
been carried out on the effect of currency redesign policy on the general
performance of the Nigerian economy. For instance, Onimisi (2023) examined the
implication of currency redesign on socio-economic development in Nigeria. Pillah
(2023) evaluated the currency redesign and monetary policy of Nigeria while
Olujobi and Chuba (2023) examined the macroeconomic implications of the new
currency refurbishment and capital formation in Nigeria.
2.1.2. Economic Implications
The 2022 Naira Redesign Program was not created or carried out at the discretion
of the CBN Management or even the Presidency. It was rather predicated on the
Apex Bank’s comprehension of the local circumstances and international best
practices that made currency redesign necessary. The Naira redesign program had
five main objectives: to improve the management of Nigerian currency; to advance
the movement toward a cashless and digital economy; to lower the incidence of
terrorism and kidnapping; to adhere to international best practices of redesigning
national currencies every five to eight years; and, subtly, to sanitize the 2023
general elections. Excessive currency hoarding and the widespread use of
counterfeit Naira throughout the nation, which the CBN identified as the
fundamental driving forces behind the initiative, are the principal obstacles to these
ultimate aims. But the question still stands: did the program succeed in achieving
its objectives after the three months (October 26, 2022 – February 10, 2023) during
which it was intended to be implemented had passed? The hoarding of banknotes
was at its height when the program began in October 2022, particularly among the
elite corps of the nation. According to data made public by the CBN, at the time
the initiative was introduced,
more than 85% of the currency in use was purportedly kept by the general public
outside of commercial banks' vaults. The CBN Governors stated that "at the end of
September 2022, available data at the CBN indicates that N2.73 trillion out of the
N3.23 trillion-naira currency in circulation was outside the vaults of commercial
banks across the country" (CBN, 2022: 2-3). There was just N500 billion in the
financial system. The management of the apex bank was required to begin
currency redesign as a means of ensuring effective currency management due to
this challenge and the rapid increase in the amount of currency in circulation,
which increased from N1.46 trillion in December 2015 to N3.23 trillion as of
September 2022.
The CBN had recovered 75% (N1.9 trillion) of the N2.73 trillion in old notes that
were outside the banking system when the program was launched between the
program's inception in October 2022 and the 29th of January 2023 (eleven days
before the deadline for the demonetization of the old notes, which was set for
February 10th) (CBN, 2023: 3). Only N400 million of the new notes were
distributed by the Apex Bank to replace the N1.9 trillion in old notes that it
recouped in accordance with the cashless policy. Additionally, it set weekly caps
on the number of brand-new notes that people and organizations could withdraw
(CBN, 2022).
Over-the-counter cash withdrawals by individuals and businesses were initially
limited to N100,000 and N500,000, respectively, by the CBN. However, in
accordance with the National Assembly's directions, the cap was increased to
N500,000 for individuals and N5,000,000 for organizations (Adegboyega, 2022).
The CBN’s attempt to force Nigeria into a cashless economy resulted in a cash
crunch that was unprecedented and exposed the country’s e-banking channels’
limitations: commercial banks could only disperse a certain amount of cash
through ATMs, and mobile banking apps were rendered useless due to the high
volume of electronic transactions that the cash crunch required.
The grave situation brought on by the lack of cash was documented in an article
titled "Nigeria's Season of Cash Scarcity" at the height of the cash crunch, which
lasted throughout February and March 2023. According to what he said, bank-run
digital payments are frequently unreliable, which causes businesses to struggle as
more and more customers struggle to obtain cash to pay for goods and services.
Due to the circumstance, fresh banknotes can now be sold on the black market.
Businesses all around the nation have been affected by the cash shortage, and many
have had to close. Trade and commerce, along with agriculture, are two crucial
components of the economy that have been severely impacted because most of
their transactions take place in cash, particularly in rural areas. Rural economic
activity has ceased as a result of this approach (Morphy, 2023). The
administrations of Kaduna, Kogi, and Zamfara States filed a lawsuit before the
Supreme Court protesting the program’s haphazard implementation due to the
negative consequences of cash shortage on the local populace. The court decided
on March 3
to reinstate the old notes into circulation and declare them to be valid until
December 31, 2023 (Olabimtan, 2023). Overall, however, the program has
unintentionally encouraged cash hoarding: while the elites used every trick in the
book to obtain and hoard the new notes from the commercial banks, rural residents
no longer have faith in banks and are unlikely to deposit their money there because
of the perception that it is difficult to access banked funds in times of need. The
program also failed to control vote-buying and bribery during the general elections
of 2023. The lack of funds hindered the smooth delivery of election officials and
materials to polling units during the presidential and National Assembly elections
on February 25 as well as the gubernatorial and state assemblies’ elections on
March 18. Politicians utilized wrappers, food items, bank transfers, and hard
money like the CFA Franc and the US Dollar to bribe election authorities and buy
votes during the cash constraint (Ndujihe, 2023).
When the initiative began in October 2022, Naira counterfeiting was on the rise.
"Recent advances in photographic technology and advancement in printing devices
have made counterfeiting relatively easier," said CBN Governor Godwin Emefiele.
Particularly at the higher values of N500 and N1000, the CBN has observed a
markedly greater rate of counterfeiting in recent years (CBN, 2022). The extent of
money fraud in Nigeria supported the governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria’s
assertion. For instance, media sources state that the CBN seized around N64.7
million in fake cash just this year. Following that, the CBN seized a total of 67,265
counterfeit banknotes in 2020 with a nominal value of N56.8 million. The N1000 and
N500 made up the majority of the confiscated counterfeit currency in the year 2020,
accounting for 69.06% and 30.79% respectively, according to the apex bank’s 2020 annual
report (CBN, 2021). For instance, the trends in 2019 and 2020 are significantly different
from what was observed in 2016, when, according to a press release signed by Isaac
Okorafor, the CBN’s Acting Director of Corporate Communications, "the prevalence of
counterfeit notes in Nigeria from January to December 2016 was less than one per cent,
precisely 0.0014%." (CBN, 2016: 1).
Although counterfeit new notes were discovered in use a few weeks after the new notes
went into circulation (Nweze, 2022), the pursuit of cashless transactions greatly lowers
the likelihood of counterfeiting. When a sizable portion of Nigerians start using the
e-Naira, which is exceedingly difficult, if not impossible to counterfeit, this will
become much more effective. The Naira redesign program was somewhat ambitiously
intended to speed up the process of reducing abduction and terrorism; the goal was
to decrease the number of notes in circulation to lessen the likelihood of paying ransom
(CBN, 2022). Of course, this program’s goal suffered significant setbacks as a
result of terrorists’ varied attempts to demand ransom in other currencies, like the
CFA Franc. In fact, a popular video from January 2023 showed some terrorists
displaying the new currency in the woods. However, a widely
reported incident where members of the infamous Islamic State West Africa
Province (ISWAP) blocked a highway in Borno and gave N100,000 of the old
notes to each passenger demonstrated its limited success (Okoye, 2023). This was
likely due to their concern that the old notes might expire while in their possession.
The National Bureau of Statistics reports that in January 2023, Nigeria’s inflation
spiked to 21.82 percent. The Central Bank of Nigeria is redesigning the naira at the
same time as this. The inflation rate for January was 0.48 percentage points higher
than the 21.34 percentage point reading for December 2022 (Punch, 2023).
Lack of the newly designed notes led to an artificial inflation that increased prices
for goods and services, including the purchase of naira notes, rather than reducing
inflation. The paucity of new banknotes and the fuel hoarding hurt small, medium,
and big enterprises in both the formal and informal sectors of the economy. The
trade and agricultural subsector were severely hampered by the naira redesign
policy’s debilitating effect. Additionally, it had a spillover effect on other
significant economic sectors, including the services industry and the manufacturing
value chain.
The trade end of the chain has been severely interrupted by the currency swap
issue due to the limited supply of new naira notes. For instance, the commerce
industry provides roughly 14% of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP),
which is estimated to be worth N35 trillion. The agricultural sector is expected to
be worth N62 trillion and accounts for around 25% of the country’s GDP. The
majority of
these sectors' activities either take place in rural areas or in the unorganized sector
of the economy. Since the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in 2020, these are the
sectors that have helped the economy remain resilient in the face of multiple
internal and international challenges. Since the shortage of the new naira notes and
the fuel shortage began, the informal sector has seen a drop in sales of consumer
goods of about 20% and the manufacturing sector of 30%, according to statistics
from the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and
Agriculture (NACCIMA) (NACCIMA, 2022). The majority of the GDP is
contributed by these industries. Businesses and individuals have experienced
significant distortions as a result of the lack of petroleum goods. Investment has
also suffered as a result of it. According to estimates, the crisis might have
endangered Nigeria's N100 trillion shares of the country's GDP. The country's
supply chain was actually affected at the trading end. This is a result of the
industrial sector's output not being sold due to a lack of funding to move the goods.
Unpredictability characterized the chain reaction (The Sun, February 14, 2023).
2.1.3 Factors that Contributed To The Failure of the Currency Redesign
Regime
Politics: The political twist made the policy more complex. The President had
declared that he intended to deny money to lawmakers for the 2023 election in an
effort to establish a legacy of "free and fair elections." This amounted to utilizing
the
CBN as a political tool and complicated the situation for the CBN Governor, who
had attempted to run for president of the ruling party. The CBN Governor was the
target of a lot of criticism. Politicians still prevailed over the system, though. They
allegedly negotiated deals and paid the initial disbursements without passing their
stashes via any bank accounts (Fasua, 2023).
Demographic and Sociological Changes Since 1984: It was evident from the
policy’s immediate results how Nigeria had undergone both demographic and
sociological change since the previous time a similar exercise was carried out.
These are important things to take note of, ranging from point of sale (PoS)
operators taking advantage of fellow Nigerians to the exaggeration of problems
that sparked panic and rioting to the reality that Nigerians are now lot less patriotic
and impatient. Additionally, Nigerians have grown more fearless and despised
authority, making them harder to manage (Fasua, 2023).
Banking Superstructure and Modernity: It is tragic that there are now fewer
banks in Nigeria’s rural areas than there were in 1984, 39 years ago. This was once
more revealed by the currency redesign process, which is useful information for
the Central Bank of Nigeria. In 2005 and 2006, banks were combined in an effort
to make them stronger and more efficient. However, this consolidation led to the
creation of too-big-to-fail banks, which had to be saved with taxpayer money in
2011 due to overtrading. There appears to be some peace on that front now,
although these
bigger banks had shuttered their operations in rural areas mostly because of
insecurity. Also closed were numerous branches that were judged unprofitable. The
currency swap exercise also demonstrated that alternatives to traditional banking
have yet to gain traction because they were unable to quickly recover. In Nigeria,
many local governments don’t even have any bank relationships. The federal
government should take note of this. Moving forward, there must be some choices.
Since most failed owing to poor business strategies and selfishness, microfinance
or community bank models might be reconsidered (Fasua, 2023).
The Wages of Illiteracy and Poverty and the Widening Income Divide: The
fact that the income gap appears to have grown into a canyon is another lesson to
be learned from the currency exchange exercise. Where ATMs are present around
the nation, large crowds of people lined up (or rather mobbed) them to withdraw
extremely meager sums. As those who were more comfortable lack the funds to tip
those who had little, the issue of poverty is increasingly exposed. Even when they
did, they spent money more slowly by nature. The activity exposed how little had
been done to address the problems of poverty and illiteracy as well. If they had
accounts at all, many of those who smashed bank branches likely had nothing in
them (Fasua, 2023).
2.1.4. Role of the Banking Sector
Redesigning old currency notes is a significant endeavor for any country’s
monetary
system, with implications for economic stability, operational efficiency, and
financial inclusion. In Nigeria, the banking sector plays a pivotal role in facilitating
this process, ensuring a seamless transition between old and new currency
denominations while maintaining the integrity of the financial system.
Banks are directly involved in implementing currency redesign directives issued by
the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). According to Smith (2019), banks are
mandated to comply with CBN regulations regarding the withdrawal of old
currency notes from circulation and the introduction of new ones. This involves
adjusting internal processes and systems to accommodate the transition effectively.
Banks serve as primary points for exchanging old currency notes with new ones.
According to Johnson (2020), banks facilitate the exchange process for customers,
ensuring a smooth transition between the old and new currency denominations.
This exchange function is crucial in managing liquidity and maintaining public
confidence in the currency.
Redesigning old currency notes requires efficient cash management by banks. As
noted by Okonkwo (2018), banks must adjust their cash handling processes to
accommodate the transition, ensuring that ATMs, branches, and other service
points are adequately stocked with the new currency notes. Effective cash
management is essential for preventing disruptions in financial transactions. Banks
play a critical role in maintaining the security of currency during the redesign
process. According
to Adewale et al. (2017), banks need to implement robust security measures to
safeguard both the old currency notes being phased out and the new ones being
introduced. This includes measures to prevent counterfeiting, theft, and fraud.
Banks are responsible for educating their customers about the currency redesign
and its implications. According to Mohammed (2019), banks must inform
customers about exchange procedures, changes in currency features, and potential
scams or fraud attempts. Effective customer education is essential for maintaining
public confidence and preventing misunderstandings during the transition period.
2.2. Theoretical Framework
Transaction Cost Economics
Transaction cost theory aims to answer the question of when activities would occur
within the market and when they would occur within the firm (Williamson, 1991).
More specifically, transaction cost theory predicts when the governance forms of
hierarchies, markets, or hybrids (e.g., alliances) will be used. Williamson, who was
recognized with a Nobel Prize for his work on transaction costs, theorized that
whether activities would be internalized within a firm depended on their
transaction costs. He saw transactions broadly as transfers of goods or services
across interfaces, and argued that when transaction costs were high, internalizing
the transaction within a hierarchy was the appropriate decision. Conversely, when
transaction costs were low, buying the good or service on the market was the
preferred option. Three
dimensions were developed for characterizing transactions: uncertainty, frequency,
and asset specificity, or the degree to which transaction-specific expenses were
incurred. Transaction cost theory is built on assumptions of bounded rationality
and opportunism, defined as self-interest with guile. this theory suggests that
conducting transactions is a costly endeavor (e.g., negotiating contracts,
monitoring performance and resolving disputes) and different modes of organizing
transactions (e.g., within a market or a firm) entail different costs (Coase 1937).
Hence, according to this theory, a comparative examination of the relative
transaction costs (or their indicants) of these alternative modes reveals how a
particular transaction should be conducted (Williamson 1985). TCT rests upon
several key assumptions about human behavior and environmental characteristics
(Williamson, 1979; Williamson & Ouchi, 1981; Williamson, 1985). These
assumptions elucidate why firms may face superior costs for market-based
transactions and why firms may be relatively more efficient than markets at
organizing transactions. The firm - 8 - will select the governance form, from the
various alternatives amongst the organizational menu, that minimizes transaction
and production costs. Assumptions about human and human behavior Opportunism
with guile. In neoclassical economics, humans are viewed as self-interested;
individuals pursue their own self-interest in their own activities (i.e., simple self-
interest according to Williamson (1985)). Opportunism with guile takes this
assumption a step further to assume that individuals may engage in behavior that is
both subtly and overtly deceitful ex ante and ex post to agreeing on contracts. As
Williamson (1985: 48) puts it “Plainly, were it not for opportunism, all behavior
could be rule governed”. In fact, it is precisely because sometimes some
individuals behave opportunistically that there are costs to exchange (e.g.,
contracts can not be written and enforced perfectly or costlessly).
The opportunism assumption is about the motivations of human behavior
(Williamson, 1985). This assumption is central to TCT because, in the absence of
potentially opportunistic behaviors, contracts would be costlessly enforced and
there would be no reason for other forms of economic organization besides the
market.
Bounded rationality. The neoclassical theory assumes that individuals have
perfect information and act as utility maximizers with calculative rationality. In
sharp contrast, the TCT views human as boundedly rational - individuals are
“intendedly rational, but only limitedly so” (Simon, 1961 as cited in Williamson,
1985). Bounded rationality reflects individuals’ inability to process large degrees of
information and their difficulty in assigning probability values to the occurrence of
future events. It is worth noting that bounded rationality does not imply that
individuals seek to be irrational. In fact, they seek to make rational decisions but
within the limits of their imperfect cognitive abilities and in conditions of
imperfect information.
Assumptions about environmental characteristics Asset specificity. Williamson
defined asset specificity as “durable investments that are undertaken in support of
particular transactions, the opportunity cost of which investment is much lower in
best alternative uses or by alternative users should be original transaction be
prematurely - 9 - terminated” (1985: 55).
In contrast to the neoclassical economics which treats exchanges of standard
nature, transactions according to TCT often involve idiosyncratic attributes so that
contracts cannot be written costlessly due to, for example, the unknown
idiosyncrasies beforehand. In this respect Williamson (1985: 53) states that
“[transactions that are supported by investments in durable, transaction-specific
assets experience ‘lock in’ effects, on which account autonomous trading will
commonly be supplanted by unified ownership]”. Hence contractual and
organizational safeguards (i.e., firms) become necessary for transactions involving
these nonstandard assets. Transaction costs theory focuses rather strongly the asset
specificity and its role in determining how to better organize exchanges. The broad
advice is that when assets are not specific to an exchange the market may be the
most efficient way (or the best way for minimizing costs) to organize it. The asset
specificity makes specific reference to the extent to which an asset can be
redeployed to alternative uses and/or by alternative users without a substantial
sacrifice of its productive value (Williamson, 1989: 141). And, it is possible to
distinguish six different types of asset specificity: site specificity, physical asset
specificity, human asset specificity, dedicated assets,
brand name capital and temporal specificity (Williamson, 1989: 141- 142). The
degree of asset specificity ranges from nonspecific to mixed to idiosyncratic
(Williamson, 1979, 1985). The asset specificity assumption might be called the
locomotive or driving assumption of TCT as Williamson himself states “the
importance of asset specificity to transaction cost economics is difficult to
exaggerate” (1985: 56). Uncertainty. Uncertainty is a straightforward assumption
and it contrasts with the perfect-information assumption of the neoclassical view.
Information about past, current and future states is not perfectly known, for various
reasons. Without the existence of bounded rationality and opportunism, uncertainty
would be much less of a problem because general rules would generally prevail
(Williamson, 1985). However, given these assumptions uncertainty is especially
critical. Uncertainty arises from, for example, not knowing about future states
or/and the inability to determine who is more prone to behave opportunistically
(Williamson, 1993b).
Because it is very difficult to determine ex ante who will engage in opportunistic
behavior, contracts are not costlessly written and enforced (Williamson, 1993b).
Frequency of the transactions. If transactions are infrequent then the costs of
alternative governance structures may not be justified. A larger frequency or larger
volumes of transactions, however, gives rise to justification for alternative
governance structures such as the firm. Therefore the volume, number, and/or
temporal spread of transactions are important to be considered because even given
the previous assumptions if they are infrequent alternative governance structures
may not be necessary or feasible. The degree of frequency ranges from occasional
to recurrent (Williamson, 1979, 1985). In sum, Williamson (1975) identified three
determinants of the transaction costs: (a) the agents’ bounded rationality, that
originates incomplete contracts due to the impossibility of foreseeing, in the
contracting moment, all future situations; (b) opportunism that is originated when
one of the partners pursues his own short-term self-interest; and (c) the assets
specificity, this originates that the owners of production factors will incur costs if
they deviate the assets to another use, and leads to the conclusion that the best use
is improved by internalization. Internalization will be preferred to externalization if
three conditions are verified: (A) The degree of the transaction uncertainty is high -
that is, if it’s difficult to guarantee the execution of the contract - the supplier may
have an opportunistic behavior that impairs the customers; (B) If the assets
involved in the transaction are specific - if just a restricted number of suppliers
possess the necessary equipment to the accomplishment of the activity, his
bargaining power increases - affects negatively the price of the transaction; (C) If
the transaction is the recurrent type, that is, if the firm has to buy regularly large
quantities of the product to the suppliers these will be able to demand better
conditions. Governance implications The main governance implication of TCT is
that the most efficient
governance structure for organizing economic exchanges will depend on several
characteristics of the transactions themselves. For instance, - nonspecific
transactions of both occasional and recurrent contracting will be principally
governed by the market. As assets became more and more specific, other forms of
governance will be needed ranging from trilateral to unified governance structure
(the firm) (Williamson, 1979, 1981, 1985). Williamson (1979, 1985) argued that
asset specificity actually drives vertical integration, which contrasts with the
traditional arguments of monopolistic market power. This has important policy
implications because vertical integration is often viewed as being anti-competitive
and subject to anti-trust litigation. When the transaction cost logic is applied and
the concept of relative efficiency is introduced the benefits of vertical integration
are more clearly understood (Williamson, 1979, 1985; Klein & Shelanski, 1994).
Theoretical Framework: Transaction Cost Economics Perspective
Transaction Cost Economics (TCE) provides a useful lens through which to
analyze the economic and operational implications of redesigning old currency
notes in the Nigeria banking sector. TCE, developed by Nobel laureate Oliver
Williamson, posits that economic transactions incur costs beyond the actual price
of goods or services exchanged. These transaction costs include search and
information costs, bargaining and negotiation costs, and enforcement and policing
costs. In the context of currency redesign, TCE helps elucidate how changes in
transaction costs can influence the
behavior of banks, customers, and other stakeholders.
1. Search and Information Costs: Redesigning old currency notes may entail
significant search and information costs for banks and customers. Banks must
communicate information about the currency redesign to their customers, including
the timeline for exchanging old notes, the features of the new currency, and any
procedural changes. This communication process requires resources for
advertising, customer education, and staff training. Similarly, customers incur
search costs in learning about the currency redesign and determining how it affects
their financial transactions. Failure to effectively communicate information about
the currency redesign can lead to confusion and inefficiencies, increasing overall
transaction costs.
2. Bargaining and Negotiation Costs: Currency redesign may also affect
bargaining and negotiation costs within the banking sector. Banks may need to
renegotiate contracts with suppliers of cash handling equipment and security
services to accommodate the changes in currency design. Additionally, banks may
face increased bargaining power from customers demanding compensation for the
inconvenience caused by the currency redesign, such as longer wait times at
branches or temporary unavailability of certain denominations. Managing these
negotiation processes effectively is crucial for minimizing disruptions and
maintaining operational efficiency.
3. Enforcement and Policing Costs: Ensuring compliance with the new currency
design involves enforcement and policing costs for banks and regulatory authorities.
Banks must implement measures to detect and prevent the circulation of counterfeit
currency during the transition period. This may require investment in upgraded
counterfeit detection technology, additional training for staff, and enhanced security
protocols. Regulatory authorities, such as the Central Bank of Nigeria, play a crucial role
in enforcing compliance with currency redesign regulations and addressing any violations
or fraudulent activities. Failure to adequately enforce compliance can undermine the
integrity of the currency and erode public trust in the banking system.
From a TCE perspective, the economic and operational implications of redesigning
old currency notes in the Nigeria banking sector hinge on effectively managing
transaction costs. To mitigate the adverse effects of transaction costs associated with
currency redesign, banks and policymakers can take several actions:
1. Invest in comprehensive communication strategies to minimize search and
information costs for customers.
2. Proactively negotiate contracts with suppliers and stakeholders to mitigate
bargaining and negotiation costs.
3. Allocate resources for robust counterfeit detection measures and regulatory
enforcement to reduce enforcement and policing costs.
4. Embrace technological innovations to streamline currency handling processes
and
improve operational efficiency.
By adopting a transaction cost perspective, stakeholders can better understand the
economic dynamics of currency redesign and implement strategies to navigate its
challenges effectively, ultimately contributing to the stability and efficiency of the
Nigeria banking sector.
CHAPTER THREE
METHODOLOGY
3.1 Research Design
Research design is defined as the strategy which is adopted by the researcher to
integrate the various components of the study in a coherent and logical way, in
order to address the problem of the research (De Vaus, 2001). The research strategy
used in this study is survey research strategy which is commonly associated with
quantitative research. This research technique allows data collected to be analysed
using inferential and descriptive statistics. It is one of the most economical strategies
used in research. Data that is reliable and can be generalized can be collected through the
use of this method. This involves sampling that represents the total population (Bryman,
2012). Vast collection of data is permitted in attempting to answer the research questions
and this makes it appropriate for this study. The research questions on knowing the
factors that motivate employee for effective job performance is easily derived through the
use of survey research strategy.
3.2 Sources of Data
Data is defined as information and statistics collected for analysis. The sources of
data used in this study are primary and secondary sources of data. Primary data are
collected at source or in direct contact (Booth, 2008). Primary source of data used
in this study is survey questionnaire designed to elicit information from employees
of the company under study. On the other hand, secondary data which were used to
supplement the work are those collected from already existing or documented
event (Stewart and Kamins, 2013). Secondary sources of data used in this data
were from journals, textbooks and peered review articles journals.
3.3 Population
Population is defined as the entire aggregate of a specified set of elements in a
defined environment (Polit and Hungler, 1991). The target population in this study
is 237 staff of five selected banks in Umuahia which are Access Bank, Guaranty
Trust Bank, United Bank of Africa, Union Bank of Nigeria plc and Zenith Bank of
Nigeria Plc.
3.4 Sample size and Sampling Technique
The study adopts Taro Yamen (1963) method to estimate the sample size. Thus it
has a formula as:
Thus it has a formula as:
n =
where
n= sample size
N= Population size
e = Level of significance = 5%
and N = 237
e = 0.05
n =
n =
n =
n =
n = 148.82 = 149
So a sample size of 149 were used in the study.
Sampling according to Burns and Grove (2003) is the process of selecting an item
or subjects as representatives from a given population that is being studied. The
sampling technique adopted is purposive sampling technique which involves
selection of data based on access. This was used because of the willingness of the
respondents to fill out the copies of questionnaire.
3.5 Instrument of Data Collection
Data collection is the systemic process adopted in gathering of data from the
source which are relevant to the research aim, objectives and questions (Burns and
Grove, 2001). The method of data collection is structured questionnaire. The
questionnaire was structured into four sections which are aimed at meeting the
objectives of the
research. Section one raises questions to find out the demographic information of
the respondents. Section B, C and D focuses on the objectives of the study. The
questions were also designed into six Likert format as follows:
Very high = 6
High = 5
Undecided = 4
Very much undecided = 3
Low = 2
Very low = 1
3.6 Data Collection Procedure
The first step taken by the researcher was to reach out to the management of the
banks on the intention of the researcher and essence of the research itself. After
proper introduction and explanation, information on the number of employees and
top management under the payroll of the banks were provided. Consequently,
further reach was made to the managers of the various banks which assisted in
selecting participants who are willing to fill out the questionnaire. The survey was
completed by the selected employees while the responses were downloaded, coded
and analysed to answer the questions raised in the study.
3.7 Reliability and Validity
Validity is defined as the degree to which an instrument measures what it is
supposed to measure (Polit and Hungler, 2001). To validate the instrument used in
this study, the instrument was subjected to scrutiny by experts to validate the
instrument and the supervisor was consulted to give a valid template of how the
instrument should be. The corrections and suggestions made were effected before
the actual administration of the questionnaire to the study participant.
Reliability is defined as the consistency with which an instrument measures an
attribute (Polit and Hungler, 2004). In establishing the reliability of the instrument,
the researcher did a Pre-test of the instrument. The Pre-test is a process whereby
the researcher administers the constructed questionnaire to 10% of the total study
population in another representative population but the filled questionnaire for the
pre-test was not be used in the final analysis of the work. The pre-test of the
instrument was carried out among similar group in another organization, a similar
population group; questions found to be unclear or unnecessary were modified
or deleted accordingly. Appropriate corrections were captured subsequently
to establish validity and reliability. A Cronbach Alpha measurement to
determine the reliability co-efficient. The reliability obtained for this study was
0.893 indicating strong internal consistency of the instrument. The research
assistants were also involved in
the pre-test exercise as this provided them with practical experiences relating to the
study.
3.8 Data Analysis Technique
All completed survey was checked for completeness and consistencies. A coding
guide was then developed to facilitate the entry of the responses into the statistical
package. The responses provided the information which was entered into the
computer and then Statistical Product for Social Science (SPSS) version 25
package was used for the analysis of the data that was collected. A 6-point rater
scale was used. Analysis was carried out using descriptive statistics such as mean,
median and mode and inferential statistics such as regression and correlation at
95% confidence interval. Mean scores of 3 were categorized as
insignificant and significant respectively. The relationship between variables and
categories were analysed using regression method of analysis at P
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